Yale
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 91.8995Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 14- 4 217 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 15- 9 221 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 17- 5 228 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 11- 6 304 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 22- 4 307 H Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 16- 6 314 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 17- 5 317 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 5- 6 322 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 10- 8 328 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 16- 8 331 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 8-12 404 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 11- 8 411 H Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 7- 4 418 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 14-13 425 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 10-11 501 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 11- 6 503 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 8-12 508 N Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Massachusetts-Lowell 14- 4 10 11 -1.35
217 H Quinnipiac 15- 9 6 13 --- -6.71
221 H Boston University 17- 5 12 9 + 3.27
228 A Michigan 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.39
304 H Central Connecticut 22- 4 18 30 0.00
307 H Columbia 16- 6 10 10 0.12
314 H Connecticut 17- 5 12 8 ++ 4.04
317 A Syracuse 5- 6 -1 -3 1.56
322 H Brown 10- 8 2 4 - -2.06
328 A Princeton 16- 8 8 -2 +++ 10.10
331 H Army 8-12 -4 2 -- -5.81
404 A Dartmouth 11- 8 3 0 + 2.70
411 H Penn 7- 4 3 4 -1.13
418 H Harvard 14-13 1 4 - -3.46
425 A Cornell 10-11 -1 0 -0.78
501 H Brown 11- 6 5 4 0.94
503 H Princeton 8-12 -4 1 -- -4.63
508 N Boston College 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Quinnipiac 15- 9 6 13 --- -6.71 331 H Army 8-12 -4 2 -- -5.81 503 H Princeton 8-12 -4 1 -- -4.63 508 N Boston College 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.17 322 H Brown 10- 8 2 4 - -2.06 418 H Harvard 14-13 1 4 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Michigan 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.39 328 A Princeton 16- 8 8 -2 +++ 10.10 314 H Connecticut 17- 5 12 8 ++ 4.04 221 H Boston University 17- 5 12 9 + 3.27 404 A Dartmouth 11- 8 3 0 + 2.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 14- 4 -20.72 19.44 1.37 0.96 40.06
3 H Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 15- 9 -19.34 20.83 -1.37 0.96 37.46
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 17- 5 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 0.96 45.12
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 11- 6 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.96 68.43
3 H Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 22- 4 -36.68 3.49 -1.37 0.96 4.08
3 H Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 16- 6 -16.51 23.66 -1.37 0.96 42.90
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 17- 5 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 0.96 46.60
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 5- 6 -6.81 33.36 1.37 0.96 -2.62
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 10- 8 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 0.96 54.10
3 A Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 16- 8 -7.27 32.90 1.37 0.96 65.96
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 8-12 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.96 -4.72
3 A Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 11- 8 -9.67 30.50 1.37 0.96 61.33
3 H Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 7- 4 -10.76 29.40 -1.37 0.96 53.96
3 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 14-13 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 0.96 53.32
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 10-11 -9.15 31.02 1.37 0.96 -3.75
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 11- 6 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 0.96 54.10
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 8-12 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 0.96 -4.15
3 N Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 4-10 -7.17 33.00 -0.00 0.96 -3.45
------
608.74
|
winning pts = 627.4370 losing points = -18.6937
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------